Sports playing can be quite profitable if a person know the secrets and techniques often the “smart money” bettors work with to consistently make dollars. One of the greatest secrets that smart money gamblers use is usually knowing when NOT to help bet.
Here’s a perfect instance. We analyzed often the Rest of the world Va vs. Louisville activity, and concluded of which West Va had the particular edge in the match. Yet , I also came to the realization that there were a lot of random and unknown factors, and recommended to my clients that they do not gamble on this kind of game. Here is my own analysis I released in advance of the game:
West Virginia versus Louisville
This online game features all the indications of being one of the best games connected with the year, along with equally teams coming into the action 7-0. It’s #3 rated West Virginia as opposed to. #5 ranked Louisville, each along with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s game was a classic, together with Western world Virginia coming again from getting down major in the final quarter to winning within overtime, however,.
So what’s the overall game seem like this year?
In the event that this video game were getting played with some sort of basic field, West Virginia would likely probably be a 4-6 stage favorite. Since typically the game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if can make sense…
West Virginia can be on an unprecedented roll. These people haven’t lost since Oct. 1, 2005, proceeding 14-0 since they shed to Va Tech. Inside the last two conditions they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 9 video games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 ROAD games.
These kind of are some very impressive stats that tilt often the scales in favor involving WVU regarding tonight’s gaming. Plus, typically the additional added bonus is that WVU is definitely GETTING +1 point. This may not look like quite a bit, but in a near match-up similar to this, that extra point could make the big difference between a push together with a loss.
But what concerning แทงบอล ?
Louisville’s statistics are usually almost as good since WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In his or her final 10 games, Louisville is just 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is even so 7-3 ATS into their previous 10 home game titles.
And even if you’re leaning to WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t misplaced in your own home since January 17, 2003! During this present run Louisville is hitting 49. 5 points for every game at your home, while hitting only quitting 15. 6 points per game in home. In case a person did not do the math concepts, that means since their particular last home decline they also have averaged beating their particular opposing team by means of about thirty four items per game.
Furthermore remarkable, the average line in these games has only been 21 points. That methods Louisville has beaten the divide, on average, by 13 points per sport at home due to the fact 2003.
Wow… how can an individual go against that?
Here’s how…
Most of those stats have been piled up during the 2004 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to very good than great. They have already experienced recent games that has they also have only scored twenty-eight, twenty three, 24 points. That games weren’t against Kentkucky E. or Michigan. Many people were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.
The bottom line is that will this is still a good close activity to call up. But the things i look regarding is West Virginia’s security to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can all of hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s simply no explanation to think WVU can’t hold them to this low to the middle of 20’s. My honest advice is usually to lay off this kind of game and certainly not gamble at all. There usually are better games this end of the week with more simple positive aspects.
The final score of this game was Louisville forty-four, West Florida 34. Lousiville won because West Va had 6 fumbles in addition to allowed Lousiville to return a new punt for the TD. The results was that will West Virginia’s border had not been so big they may possibly still win following doing so many mistakes. By way of not betting on this activity, people really serious with regards to gambling saved money these people can put to better apply on upcoming games.