Sports gambling can be extremely profitable if an individual know the secrets and techniques the particular “smart money” bettors apply to consistently make dollars. One of the biggest secrets that intelligent money gamblers use is usually knowing when NOT to help bet.
Here’s a best example of this. I actually analyzed the particular West Florida vs. Louisville activity, and concluded the fact that West Florida had the edge in the video game. Nevertheless , My spouse and i also recognized that there are a good deal of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to my clients that they accomplish not guarantee on this particular game. Here is our analysis I released in advance of the game:
West Las vegas vs . Louisville
This activity provides all the symptoms of being one involving the best games involving the year, using both teams coming into the adventure 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia versus. #5 ranked Louisville, the two with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, having Western world Virginia coming back from staying down huge in the next one fourth to winning within overtime.
So what’s the overall game look like this year?
In the event this match were being played on some sort of natural field, West California would probably be a 4-6 stage favorite. Since often the game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this makes sense…
West Virginia is definitely on an unprecedented rotate. These people haven’t lost considering Jan. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they dropped to Las vegas Tech. In the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last dokuz activities overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their very last 10 STREET games.
These kind of are some very amazing stats that tilt often the scales in favor associated with WVU for tonight’s online game. Plus, the particular additional bonus offer is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This can not seem like very much, but in a shut match-up like this, that excess point will make the change between a push in addition to a loss.
But some of us wonder what about Louisville?
Louisville’s statistics are really almost as good as WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their own last 10 games, Louisville is merely 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS into their last 10 home games.
Plus if you’re leaning in direction of WVU, here’s a daunting stat… Louisville hasn’t missing in the home since December 20, the year 2003! During this existing run Louisville is averaging 49. 4 points each game in your house, while averaging only leaving behind 15. seven points for each game at home. In case a person failed to do the figures, that means due to the fact their own last home loss they have already averaged beating their particular oppositions by about thirty four items per game.
What’s more extraordinary, the average line in these games has only already been 21 points. That stands for Louisville has beaten typically the pass on, on average, by 13 factors per activity at home since 2003.
Wow… how can an individual go against that?
Here’s just how…
Many of those stats had been built up during the june 2006 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been closer to good than great. They are yet to experienced recent games through which they’ve only scored 28, twenty three, 24 points. That games weren’t against Kansas E. or Michigan. บอลสเต็ป were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St.
The bottom line is that this is still the close sport to call up. Yet the things i look for is West Virginia’s protection to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can just about all hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s not any purpose to think WVU can’t have one to typically the low to mid 20’s. My honest suggestion can be to lay off this kind of game and not necessarily gamble at all. There are usually better game titles this quick with more clear-cut benefits.
The final score in this game was Louisville forty-four, West California 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to come back a good punt for a good TD. The bottom line was that West Virginia’s fringe weren’t so big they could still win right after doing so many mistakes. By way of not betting on this match, people serious concerning gambling saved money that they can put to better employ on future games.